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Why Trump Can’t Accept North Carolina Red Counties

The Trump campaign’s decision to send the candidate to a conservative county he is sure to win may not be a sign of strength. But it‘s probably his best way to rally enough voters to win in North Carolina, where Mr. Trump’s more optimistic campaign officials believe he will get a margin of victory of less than 100,000 votes ( four years ago, Mr. Trump won the state by approximately 173,000 votes).

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With bloody votes in suburban Mecklenburg County, Mr Trump cannot afford any cracks in his support in the districts he won four years ago. In fact, he has to win bigger here.

“In a year like this, in an election like this, a point or two in a community like Gaston County could determine the statewide race,” Rep. Patrick said. McHenry, Republican of North Carolina.

Michael Whatley, chairman of the North Carolina Republican Party, said a rally in Gastonia always hit the Charlotte and Asheville media markets and the party was still investing in a ground game in suburban Charlotte like Matthews. But he admitted, “We have to do better in Gaston County, just because of the number of people who have moved in.” He added, “A Gaston County vote equals a Charlotte vote.”

In Gaston County, “we’re reaching targeted voters with phone calls and door-to-door teams, and the biggest mail program we’ve ever had,” Whatley said. With up to 75 percent of the votes expected before election day, Whatley also noted that the state party had moved its mail schedule earlier. “We are going after the targeted voters out there, making sure they know about advance voting and how to do it.” The party had 200,000 electoral contacts in Gaston County. “We have spent a lot of time working these counties very aggressively,” he said.

J. Michael Bitzer, professor of American politics at Catawba College in Salisbury, North Carolina, said he had seen nothing of the Trump campaign that would indicate his hopes for victory in the state rest on converting more voters in urban suburbs than Hillary Clinton won four years ago by one percentage point. “The way I look at this race is what the shift is from these urban suburbs to Biden and what the Republican margins are in these surrounding suburban areas,” he said.

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