WASHINGTON – The House Republicans campaign wing on Wednesday revealed the list of 47 House Democrats it will target in the 2022 midterm election, the results of which will likely be determined in large part by the president’s popularity Biden.
The Congressional Republican National Committee roster includes 25 Democrats who were first elected in the 2018 Wave of Democrats election and six incumbents who represent districts that voted for former President Donald J. Trump in November. It includes a wide range of moderate Democrats, including Representatives Abigail Spanberger of Virginia and Conor Lamb of Pennsylvania, who have publicly clashed with the more liberal wing of the party in recent months.
The target list comes three months after House Republicans topped pre-election polls and reversed 15 seats held by Democrats in last year’s election. The party out of power generally does well in midterm elections: since World War II, the president’s party has lost an average of 27 House seats in the midterm elections.
The 2022 elections have the potential to carry a dynamic unseen in previous midterm contests – a referendum on the actions of a former president. Democrats have already signaled their intention to bind House Republicans to the Jan.6 riot on Capitol Hill that was instigated by Mr. Trump.
Representative Tom Emmer of Minnesota, president of the NRCC, strongly condemned the rioters during a video conference Wednesday with reporters, but also praised Mr. Trump’s campaign assistance. He said his committee would continue to embrace the former president and maintain its policy of not taking sides in primaries – even to help outgoing members who voted to impeach the former president.
“President Trump and his administration have implemented incredible policies for this country, haven’t they?” Said Mr. Emmer. “Their economic policies, their energy policies, putting Americans and America first, this policy, it was all good. It brought a ton of new voters into our party. I think Republicans need to celebrate these policies, I think we need to keep embracing them.
The Republicans roster is speculative, considering it will be months before states can begin drawing new district lines in Congress. The Census Bureau is already behind schedule in delivering redistribution and redistribution data to states, delaying at least until late summer a process that typically begins in February or March.
The delay in census data has left Congressional campaign committees of both parties in limbo as they seek to recruit candidates for the suspected districts. Sun Belt states like Texas and Florida are expected to add several new districts, while northern states including Illinois, Ohio and New York are likely to lose at least one seat each.
Mr Emmer said Republicans would “gain by redistribution” and “maximize our opportunities.”
“What I am talking about is fair and transparent, and that the districts make sense and that they do not only reflect the geography of the state and that they are a fair representation of the demographics of the state,” a- he declared.
Seven House Democrats who represent the districts Mr. Trump elected in November are on the NRCC list: Representatives Cindy Axne of Iowa, Cheri Bustos of Illinois, Matt Cartwright of Pennsylvania, Jared Golden of Maine, Elissa Slotkin from Michigan, Andy Kim from New Jersey and Ron Kind from Wisconsin.
Ms Bustos, who led the House Democrats’ election campaign in 2020, had victory margins that fell from 24 percentage points in 2018 to four points in 2020. But with Illinois certain of losing at least one seat, her gerrymandered district, which winds around to include Democratic-leaning sections of Peoria and Rockford as well as the Illinois part of the Quad Cities, will change before it faces voters again.
The NRCC also believes that a handful of Democrats who have underperformed Mr Biden could be vulnerable to better funded challengers. Those Democrats include Representatives Katie Porter and Mike Levin of California, both of whom received far less support than Mr Biden in November.