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Heavy snow forecast for the Great Lakes region of New York

The winter storm is expected to hit much of New York state, with heavy snowfall along the Great Lakes until Tuesday morning, said Dave Samuhel, senior meteorologist at AccuWeather.

Buffalo, Rochester and Syracuse could all have a foot or more of snow, with the region’s worst affected areas reaching up to 18 inches, Samuhel said.

New York City might not have snow, but the forecast was for freezing rain that could cause dangerous road conditions. As temperatures warm overnight, the rain is expected to get heavier.

“It’s a fast-paced but high-impact storm due to the heavy nature of the precipitation,” Samuhel said.

In response to the storm, Governor Andrew M. Cuomo ordered state agencies Monday afternoon to make emergency preparations for snow and ice. State officials have warned that travel conditions can become “at times extremely difficult.”

“This massive weather system is making its way across the country and is poised to deliver a double hit of snow, ice and high winds statewide for the next two days,” Cuomo said in a statement. . Adding that conditions could become “extremely dangerous,” Cuomo advised New Yorkers “to avoid unnecessary travel.”

State officials said they were ready to deploy emergency resources, including pumps, chainsaws, sandbags, generators, cots, blankets and water. bottled if conditions get bad enough.

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Video: ‘They are great Americans’: Biden visits Walter Reed

TimesVideo ‘They Are Great Americans’: Biden Visits Walter Reed President Biden visited the Walter Reed National Military Medical Center in Bethesda, Md., On Friday to privately visit wounded soldiers. He also visited the facility’s coronavirus vaccine distribution site, per The New York Times.

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Six great films about presidents

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[Read The New York Times review.]

The characters in this nervous 1964 thriller are fictional, but the situation – especially recent – seems all too real. Kirk Douglas plays a Navy colonel who suspects that a warmongering air force general (Burt Lancaster) is organizing a coup against a pacifist president (Frédéric March). Director John Frankenheimer (who two years earlier directed the same thrilling “The Mandchurian Candidate”) and screenwriter Rod Serling adapt a novel by Charles W. Bailey II and Fletcher Knebel into a quirky war film, where soldiers fight in conference rooms instead of battlefields, attacking using clandestine meetings and phone calls.

Watch it on Amazon prime, Apple tv, google play, Seen, Youtube

[Read The New York Times review.]

Richard Nixon is at the center of this diary drama, even though he stays offscreen most of the time. Based on Carl Bernstein and Bob Woodward’s account of how they investigated the Watergate scandal for the Washington Post, this film conveys the daily affairs of gossip, leaks and social media in the nation’s capital. But it’s also a compelling story of how citizens and journalists can act as a check on the executive, whenever presidents and their staff imperiously begin to ignore or bulldoze federal laws.

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[Read The New York Times review.]

One of the great attractions of films about presidents is the opportunity to see how the leader of the free world lives. In this 1993 comedy “Dave”, Kevin Kline plays an ordinary guy who looks like the President. When White House staff ask him to impersonate POTUS while the real one recovers from a stroke, Dave soon finds himself embroiled in a conspiracy involving scandal, chicanery and romance. What makes this image so charming is Kline’s endearing optimistic performance as someone who truly enjoys the privileges of the presidency – the perks of the ruling White House to improve people’s lives.

Watch it on Amazon prime, Apple tv, google play, Seen, Youtube

[Read The New York Times review.]

Screenwriter Aaron Sorkin has a knack for creating charismatic and inspiring politicians, as shown in his hit TV series “The West Wing”. In this 1995 romantic drama, Michael Douglas plays the main character, a centrist Democrat like Bill Clinton inclined to push for popular legislation rather than take controversial positions. The story of Sorkin (led by Rob Reiner) is mostly about the widowed president’s love affair with an environmental lobbyist played by Annette Bening. But the film also imagines an idealized Washington, where the right speech at the right time can change one’s mind and perhaps save a nation.

Watch it on Netflix, Amazon prime, Apple tv, google play, Seen, Youtube

[Read The New York Times review.]

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A historic impeachment and a great choice for the Senate

Trump is impeached – again – but a Senate trial seems far away. In the meantime, the authorities are preparing for a day of resentful inauguration. It’s Thursday, and here’s your policy tip sheet. register here to get On Politics delivered to your inbox every day of the week.

President Nancy Pelosi oversaw the vote to impeach Trump yesterday.


Before the storming of the Capitol by rioting Trump supporters encouraged by the president himself, before President Trump claimed the November election was rigged, before the summer of racial unrest the president has used to promote his demagoguery, and before the coronavirus pandemic hits American shores. , the scandalous news that hit the country was the impeachment of Trump. But this outrage was highly polarized.

Democratic voters and lawmakers (as well as some generally non-partisan officials) angrily demanded the president’s impeachment based on their claim that Trump violated his oath by bribing a foreign official to publicly order a corruption investigation damaging on Trump’s opponent. Republican voters and lawmakers have said the multistep argument is convoluted and hypocritical in light of the recent history of Democrats sponsoring international opposition research efforts, like the infamous Steele dossier.

This time, however, it is different. In an opinion piece published on Wednesday, Steven G. Calabresi, Republican and professor at the Pritzker School of Law at Northwestern University, argues with Norman Eisen, Democrat and Senior Fellow at the Brookings Institution, for a bipartisan approach to impeachment, rooted in the protection of democracy.

They write: “We have considerable political differences. But we strongly share a point of view that should transcend partisan politics: President Trump must be arraigned and tried again as soon as possible in the Senate, either before or after inauguration day on January 20. against his own vice-president, the Senate and the House of Representatives, and put pressure on the Georgian Secretary of State to “find” enough votes so that he can overturn the legitimate election result.

Reports have revealed that Mitch McConnell, the majority leader, will not lobby against the president’s impeachment. While Trump’s impeachment before inauguration day is highly unlikely, Eisen and Calabresi’s hope of a historic, interdisciplinary condemnation of the president may in fact become a reality.


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Statehouse seats are ready to go, and with them, great power

WASHINGTON – Abortion. Firearms. Police reform. Schools. Health care. Covid19.

These are just a few of the issues that state legislatures will pass laws on next year. Not to mention the once-in-a-decade event: redrawing national and national electoral maps after the decennial census, an exercise that can give a political party a deep and lasting advantage in law-making for years to come.

So while the campaigns for president and seats in Congress may have absorbed much of the nation’s attention, the elections to determine control of the state government – more than 5,000 legislative races away in the ballot – could also have a major effect on the lives of Americans.

About 80% of the country’s 7,383 state legislative seats are up for grabs this year, with elections in 44 states, according to Tim Storey, an expert with the National Conference of State Legislatures, or NCSL.

The stakes are high for both parties. Democrats are offended in this year’s state election, trying to sidetrack chambers from GOP control, but Mr Storey said Democrats were highly unlikely to make gains close to those Republicans scored in the 2010 election cycle, when they won a whopping 24 chambers, the culmination of a historic realignment of Southern legislatures to the Republican Party.

“If there are any wins, they won’t be extraordinary or off the charts,” Storey said. Demographic change is slow, he said, and the movement from one state to another is generally gradual.

Some of the chambers that Democrats aim to reverse, he said, are the Texas House, the North Carolina House and Senate, the Arizona House and Senate, the Minnesota Senate, and the Pennsylvania, Michigan and Iowa Houses. Republicans, for their part, are seeking to take the New Hampshire House and Senate.

Republicans have a distinct advantage in state houses today. Of the 98 partisan legislative chambers in 49 states, about three-fifths – 59 chambers – are controlled by Republicans, and the remaining 39 by Democrats, according to NCSL (The Nebraska Legislature has only one chamber and its elections are officially non-partisan.)

In all but one of the two-chamber states (Minnesota is the exception), the same party controls both houses. This is an effect of increasing polarization and the growing tendency of voters to stick with one political party at the top and bottom of the poll.

The 2010 Republican sweep coincided with a census, giving Republicans disproportionate control just as the lines were due to be redrawn for congressional and state constituencies across the country. The effects are still being felt today.

“I think most people, including Democrats, realize that Republicans were ahead of the game in 2008 and 2009 and 2010, and took control of legislatures,” said Wendy Underhill, redistribution specialist. at NCSL This time, she said, “Both teams are equally well prepared.

The redistribution process begins again next year, when the Census Bureau provides demographic data to each state. This typically happens before April 1, although the timing is less certain this year due to delays caused by the Covid-19 pandemic and continued prosecution.

Regardless of the timing, however, the outcome of next week’s poll will be crucial. While some states use non-partisan or bipartisan commissions to draw electoral maps, the process in most states is controlled by the majority party in the state legislature.

“State races have never been more important than they are this year,” said David Abrams, deputy executive director of the Republican State Executive Committee, which focuses on electing Republicans at state offices. He said his group is focused on 14 target states and that in many of them Democrats who reversed Republican seats in 2018 are now vulnerable. “The conventional wisdom is that we’re all about defense, but that’s not really true,” he said.

Issues beyond the power of redistribution are also at stake – for example, access to healthcare, which is particularly important during the pandemic.

In North Carolina, where Republicans have controlled both houses since the 2010 national sweep, Democrats are fighting to regain control and want to expand Medicaid to cover low-income Carolinians.

North Carolina is one of 12 remaining states – all with Republican-controlled legislatures and most of them in the south – that have not expanded their Medicaid programs under the Affordable Care Act. .

Abortion is another example. Joe Pojman, executive director of the Texas Alliance for Life, said his organization was focusing not only on helping Mr. Trump win the state, but also the downward races for the Texas House, which the Democrats hope to reverse.

If that happens, Mr. Pojman said, “it would be very difficult to move our agenda forward.”

One goal, he said, is a “trigger law” that would ban abortion in the state if and when Roe v. Wade is canceled. The new composition of the Supreme Court is believed to have made such an overthrow more possible, and similar bills have been passed in other Republican-controlled states.

Abortion rights advocates say they are watching the Iowa House, which Democrats are trying to overthrow. The chamber voted this year to put to the ballot a proposal to change the state constitution to say it does not protect abortion, according to Elisabeth Smith, chief state policy and advocacy lawyer at the Center for Reproductive Rights, an abortion rights group. If Republicans lose control of Iowa House, she said, the initiative would not pass a second time, a condition for putting the proposal forward to voters.

Elsewhere, efforts to curb police violence are on the line. In Minnesota, where Democrats control the House and hope to overthrow the Senate, a police bill that was passed by the legislature over the summer was weaker than the Democrats wanted. According to Jessica Oaxaca, a spokesperson for the Senate Democrats, it did not require officers to live in the communities they serve, nor did it completely ban strangulation holds or impose penalties for their use. It also lacked protections for police officers who report illegal uses of force, she said, adding that to pass tougher changes, Democrats would need to control the Senate.

“We have to win the majority to have the conversation,” she said.