Two big myths may be in danger to be arrested after the 2020 elections.
First, this President Trump is invincible, a political Houdini who would exhaust any means necessary to stay in power – and inevitably succeed. And second, if it failed in one way or another, it would spell the end of its creation, Trumpism, the politics of alternative reality and ethno-nationalist populism that have taken control of the Republican Party.
These two assumptions may have been wrong.
Joe Biden has now won 253 electoral votes and has multiple routes to the White House, with five alternate states still undecided and countless votes in several likely to favor him. While Trump has not indicated he intends to concede and his campaign insists he could still win, at this point a path to victory would most likely pass through the courts. It’s a difficult road for him.
At the same time, if the Democrats end up declaring victory over all, it will be under siege. Not only did Trump surpass their expectations on the battlefield, but Democratic candidates for both the House and Senate also lost races – some in states that shared their tickets and favored Biden for the post of president – including the party had been quite confident. They included Susan Collins’ Senate seat fight in Maine, a House race in Miami-Dade County, and another in eastern Iowa.
In a letter to House Democrats yesterday, Nancy Pelosi admitted it was a “difficult election.” Which means that for Republicans, who have almost all wrapped their arms around the president’s politics this year, Trump’s brand is not completely invalidated. This is despite the fact that he seems increasingly likely to lose his bid for reelection, a rarity for presidents of the United States.
If he goes ahead with the legal challenges At the vote count, Trump could have a big advantage: Judge Amy Coney Barrett, whom he appointed in September and confirmed by the Senate last month. She has never pledged to recuse herself from any electoral cases that may be brought to court concerning the man who appointed her.
Barrett’s presence in court means the Conservative wing would not need Chief Justice John Roberts, who has shown more reluctance than others to endorse the challenges of the Republican vote, to form a majority.
But Biden also has an advantage: The results have been almost settled, as far as some states are concerned. Michigan and Wisconsin officials have released nearly 99% of the votes to count, and the results are little uncertain. Without the benefit of public perception that George W. Bush had in 2000, it becomes much more complicated for Trump to demand something as drastic as the annulment of an election.
The president’s words in the wee hours of election night, when he blatantly accused election officials across the country of fraud for allowing postal ballots to be counted, was widely condemned the next day.
Biden delivered brief and prepared remarks to reporters, with his running mate, Kamala Harris, by his side as he reaffirmed his campaign saw an almost certain path to 270 electoral votes.
“Yesterday once again proved that democracy is the heart of this nation,” Biden said, noting that the turnout had broken records. “I’m not here to declare that we won, but I am here to report that when the tally is over, we think we will be the winner.”
As Trump and members of his team made false claims that Pennsylvania was being stolen from them while the mail-in ballots were being counted, Democratic state Governor Tom Wolf vowed to keep track of every last vote .
“Pennsylvania will have a fair election, and that election will be free from outside influence,” Wolf said. “I will do so vigorously and we will all vigorously defend ourselves against any attempt to attack this vote in Pennsylvania.” The state, which was widely seen as a likely mainstay of this election, will continue until Friday to accept mailed ballots that were postmarked before November 3.